On July 2, 1937, Amelia Earhart — the first woman to fly the Atlantic solo, the most celebrated aviator on earth — took off from Lae, in New Guinea, with her navigator Fred Noonan, bound for a flat coral speck in the central Pacific called Howland Island. It was the most dangerous leg of an attempt to circle the globe near the equator: more than 2,500 miles of open ocean to a target a mile and a half long and twenty feet high, which they had to find by dead reckoning and the stars after a night and a morning over featureless water. A United States Coast Guard cutter, the Itasca, waited off Howland to guide them in by radio and to lay a column of smoke. It was never needed. Through the morning the Itasca's crew heard Earhart's voice growing tense as she searched for an island she could not see — 'We must be on you but cannot see you… gas is running low' — and then, in her last understood transmission, a line of position and the words that she was running north and south along it. After that there was silence. The largest air and sea search in American history to that date found nothing: no plane, no wreckage, no bodies. Earhart and Noonan were declared lost, and in the decades since, their disappearance has hardened into the most enduring mystery in the history of flight, fought over by three incompatible theories — that they ran out of fuel and sank near Howland; that they came down as castaways on a different island and died there; and that they fell into Japanese hands and never came home. This article sets out what is actually known about the flight and its final hours, and weighs the rival explanations — the plausible, the contested, and the long-debunked — against the evidence.
Assassinations & Disappearances
1937
